{"id":5048,"date":"2015-11-17T08:27:34","date_gmt":"2015-11-17T15:27:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.parkrag.com\/?p=5048"},"modified":"2015-11-17T08:27:34","modified_gmt":"2015-11-17T15:27:34","slug":"enjoy-this-winter-because-the-next-couple-may-not-be-good","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/2015\/11\/17\/enjoy-this-winter-because-the-next-couple-may-not-be-good\/","title":{"rendered":"Enjoy this Winter Because the Next Couple May Not Be So Good"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It looks like we have a great chance of having a big snow fall this year, if you believe in the effects of the El Nino. The phrase\u00a0El Nino means, &#8220;an irregularly occurring and complex series of climatic changes affecting the equatorial Pacific region and beyond every few years, characterized by the appearance of unusually warm, nutrient-poor water off northern Peru and Ecuador, typically in late December.&#8221; To most people in the Western U.S. it means that we have a good chance of a lot of snow this winter.<\/p>\n<p>As of now, the El Nino effect in the Pacific is the strongest it has ever been. Temperatures are 3 degrees Celsius higher than normal in the ocean. The previous record was in November 1997, with temperatures being 2.8 degrees Celsius \u00a0higher than normal. In that 1997-1998 ski year Alta had about 600 inches of snow, which wouldn&#8217;t be described as ming blowing, but it was\u00a0above average.<\/p>\n<p>Yet what is important is what happened in the years after. In 1998-1999 Alta had 470 inches, which is below average. In 1999-2000 Alta had 500 inches, again\u00a0below normal. In 2000-2001 Alta had 470 inches of snow. By 2001-2002, Alta was back over 500 inches. It seems that what often follows a rapid rise in ocean temperatures (El Nino) is a rapid decrease in ocean temperatures (La Nina). That is shown in this chart:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.parkrag.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/elninaelnino.jpg\" data-rel=\"penci-gallery-image-content\" ><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-5049\" src=\"http:\/\/www.parkrag.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/elninaelnino.jpg\" alt=\"El Nino La Nina\" width=\"966\" height=\"274\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The truth is that an El Nino isn&#8217;t going to guarantee us a blow out winter. However, if you believe in El Nino, should probably believe in what comes after&#8230; And that doesn&#8217;t\u00a0look good.<\/p>\n<p>So, the Park Rag&#8217;s advice is to live this winter like there&#8217;s no tomorrow. Of course, there will be a tomorrow. It just may be four years away.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It looks like we have a great chance of having a big snow fall this year, if you believe in the effects of the&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5048"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5048"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5048\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5048"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5048"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5048"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}