90% of Utah’s growth in 2013 was due to more births than deaths<\/a>. There\u00a0was only a net migration of 4,000 people to Utah in 2013. If we look at that net migration, international migration (mainly from returning missionaries) was + 5,465. Net Migration domestically (within the U.S.) was actually negative at – 1,235. So, in terms of people within the US coming to or leaving Utah, more people left Utah to go elsewhere than came here to live.<\/p>\nThis was similar to\u00a0the two previous years where population increased by about 40,000 (2011-2012) and 47,000 (2012-2013) persons… with births accounting for about\u00a090% of that growth. \u00a0Domestic migration was -80 and +5,000 persons in those two years.<\/p>\n
That said, this isn’t to say necessarily that the expected 85% growth of Summit County’s\u00a0population by 2040\u00a0won’t happen. It may or may not. However, it’s important we understand how we get to that estimated number. The “how” is important because it should impact\u00a0policy decisions. If we grow from 36,000 to 67,000 people in Summit County by 2040, that’s an extra 31,000 people. Yet\u00a028,000 of those would be from Utah births. That’s\u00a0a different economic group than imagining 30,000 people are going to be transplanted from the Upper East Side of\u00a0Manhattan to Old Town.<\/p>\n
If we are going to get that growth, it’ll likely be from life-long Utahns deciding they need to escape the air quality of\u00a0the Salt Lake Valley. It will be your average joe who works an\u00a0insurance job or is in construction. \u00a0Of course, if houses appreciate at the long-term average of 3% a year, in 2040 the average house will cost $1.9 million. So, I guess we’ll see how all that works out.<\/p>\n
What we do know is that Utah is growing, but it may not be for reasons we have become accustomed to. And that difference may make all the difference in the world when it comes to envisioning what we want our community to be.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
One of the myths that has been\u00a0popularized\u00a0is that Utah’s population growth has been driven by outsiders migrating to Utah since they witnessed how wonderful…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":""},"categories":[77],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2550"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2550"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2550\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2550"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2550"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/v2.parkrag.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2550"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}